Resources Upheaval Favors Bold Investors

A 90,000-Acre Paradox Basin Project Could Hold As Much Potash As The U.S. Has Produced Since 19251

Editorial Feature | July 17, 2023 

And One Young Company Owns It All…

Now It Could Be Set To Generate $1.27 Billion A Year, Over a 20 Year Mine Life

  • Despite expectations that potash shortages would subside, the reality is quite the opposite—they are actually worsening. This poses a significant concern for U.S. farmers who rely on potash for their agricultural needs.
  • And yet U.S.-based Sage Potash (OTCQB:SGPTF, TSX.V:SAGEOTCQB:SGPTF, TSX.V:SAGE), stands as the sole pure-play potash mining stock available in the market.
  • As Sage Potash progresses towards production, they have the potential to hit a historic milestone… by extracting more domestic potash than any other continuous mine in the United States has ever achieved.

The potash supply-chain crisis may have stopped making headlines, but that doesn’t mean the shortage is over.

Nor does it mean the growth streak the potash sector saw over the last two years is coming to an end.

Those early investors got out too soon.

Even as potash fertilizer prices have backed off their all-time highs2…

And trend investors have moved on after fattening their wallets on agribusiness giants like Mosaic…

The simple fact is, that climbing prices only eased after many farmers balked at exorbitant costs – and skipped a year of applying potash fertilizer to their fields.3

But they can’t skip again without putting their crops in jeopardy.

That means it’s only a matter of time before demand overtakes supply once again, triggering another run on what many consider to be the world’s most critical resource.4

And in the midst of this rocketing demand, a small explorer is gaining momentum, with what could be one of the most significant potash discoveries in U.S. history.

Here’s the whole story of Sage Potash (OTCQB:SGPTF, TSX.V:SAGEOTCQB:SGPTF, TSX.V:SAGE), and why it looks perfectly positioned, as tightening supplies send prices climbing again.

Supply Chain Woes Add Fuel To An Already Critical Shortage

Twenty years ago, the U.S. imported 80% of the potash it needed. Now that’s jumped to 95%, heightening the need for domestic supply.

Investors who backed away from potash stocks early had mistakenly assumed the reason the U.S. was short of potash last year was the Ukraine war.

It’s true that Belarus and Russia produce 41% of world supply5. It’s also true that Western countries refused to buy.

But when it comes to America’s needs, sanctions on Russian supplies are practically irrelevant. Russia only supplies 3% of U.S. potash.

The U.S. gets almost all its potash from Canada – where producers can cut production any time they want to boost prices.

Even considering that Canada is a friendly company, the U.S. is caught in a price trap any time big miners like Potash Corp., Nutrien or Mosaic decide to clamp down on production, as they have recently6. Mosaic’s production glut, implemented at the end of 2021 resulted in some of the highest potash prices on record.

Now, currently there’s only one domestic company with significant enough potash production to help counter this kind of supply stranglehold. That’s Intrepid Potash.

As the U.S.’s largest operator, Intrepid only produces 220,000 tons of potash a year from its Moab and Wendover mines in Paradox basin.

This miniscule domestic supply puts the agricultural industry at a major disadvantage… as farmers see margins shrinking, and consumers see prices rising, due to higher production costs.

Go Long On Demand

There are 893 million acres of farmland in the U.S., divided among 2 million farms. Every one of which requires a significant potash supply.

There are three primary nutrients plants must draw from the soil… nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P) and potassium (K). Potash is soluble potassium that plants can use.

Rich soils can supply enough of these minerals without having to rely on additives. But America’s large-scale, intense farmlands are used over and over. After a century of industrial farming, the topsoil in farm fields across the globe is anemic.

They no longer have the minerals they once did.

Nearly half of the world’s most productive soil has disappeared to aggressive farming.7

Here in the U.S., cropland topsoil is eroding 10 times faster than it can be replenished, making vast swaths of farmland nutrient-dead zones.

According to the Guardian, the world grows 95% of its food in the uppermost layer of soil, making topsoil one of the most important components of our food system.8

Topsoil is where the nutrition is.

Lack of topsoil also means the earth’s ability to filter water, absorb carbon, and feed people plunges.

And farmers aren’t the only ones suffering from the growing poverty of our soils. It’s a problem hidden in plain sight, right on your dinner table.

  • Since the 1940s, vegetables and fruits have lost 76% of their copper and 59% of their zinc on average
  • A famous study from the University of Texas found that 43 different fruits and vegetables had significant declines in protein, calcium, phosphorus, iron, vitamin B2 and vitamin C between 1950 and 1999
  • The Kushi Institute, an organization tasked with advancing the understanding of the role macrobiotics play in healthful living, found that calcium levels in fresh vegetables dropped 27%, iron fell 37%, vitamin A dropped 21%, and vitamin C was down 30% over the past decades

Now, to solve this issue, farmers can replace nitrogen with cover crops like clover or alfalfa. Or spread manure.

But only potash can replace lost potassium. There is no substitute or workaround.

Last year, when some farmers skipped potash because of prices, they were working in the “hidden hunger ” zone10. Crops would grow, but not thrive.11

It’s not feasible to skip more than one year in such soils. That applies to most Midwestern, Great Plains, and Mississippi Basin farms.12

Tests of U.S. soils by DuPont Pioneer seed company show that some states in America’s corn belt are so needy, crops cannot even grow unless potash is added before planting.13

Michigan and Iowa farms need annual applications or else—failure.

Illinois and Indiana are close behind.

Thankfully, a small explorer could soon offer a solution to this growing concern, as they move towards production on 90,000 acres in a proven region, just down the road from Intrepid.14

Potentially The Richest U.S. Potash Mine Of All Time

That’s why Sage Potash (OTCQB:SGPTF, TSX.V:SAGEOTCQB:SGPTF, TSX.V:SAGE) should be on every commodity investor’s radar. Its initial pilot production is expected by early 2024.

Sage is immediately beginning development in the Paradox Basin, a belt that straddles 33,000 square miles across southeastern Utah and southwest Colorado.

This basin is so rich in the mineral that it is expected to hold as much as 25% of potash in the entirety of the United States.

Early estimates on Sage Potash’s two starter projects show the potential for a staggering 70.1 million metric tons of inferred potash.15

Broken down, that means Sage has the potential to produce 3 million metric tons a year – for the next 25 years.16

At today’s moderate price of $424 a ton, that equates to $1.27 billion in annual revenue.

And the best news about Sage Potash (OTCQB:SGPTF, TSX.V:SAGEOTCQB:SGPTF, TSX.V:SAGE) is the first two sites – ”Upper Cycle 18” and “Lower Cycle 18” – currently ting and expected to go into production within a year.

Potash in this basin was deposited over the ages, in 29 layers or “cycles” that are stacked on top of each other.

These layers are generally between 16- and 32-feet thick. A well shaft may tap into more than one of these cycles as they are numbered from 1 (shallowest) to 29 (deepest).

In the case of Sage Potash’s Cycle 18 project, the combined thickness is about 42 feet, and covers 4 square miles in area—lying mostly flat and even across it all.

That makes it easy to mine.

But there’s another advantage Sage Potash can claim that its Canadian counterparts can’t…

The location is in the middle of the U.S., near major croplands.

 Due to lower rail and shipping costs, that equates to a profit bonus of about $155 to $225 more per ton.

Near-Cash-Flow Growth and Ability to Expand Quickly

Most Canadian or U.S. sourced potash is produced using large brine ponds to evaporate a potash solution and leave crystals behind.

The only two potash miners in the Paradox Basin, Intrepid and Great Salt Lake Minerals, both use evaporations ponds.17

Now, it takes a year or more to build a pond for evaporation. Then several months to fill it. And nearly a year at the shortest for evaporation to finally yield potash.

Intrepid’s evaporation ponds at Moab, near Sage Potash’s property, cover 400 acres. It’s a huge investment in time and money.

Ponds like those also depend on the weather. In fact, Intrepid dyes the water blue to try to help it heat up faster.

Scenic, but not very efficient.

This is where Sage Potash (OTCQB:SGPTF, TSX.V:SAGEOTCQB:SGPTF, TSX.V:SAGE) really differentiates themselves from the competition.

Sage plans to use mechanical evaporation units. These small shed-size units can be set up within days. Then they’re ready to roll.

Now that Sage has raised $5.5 million in startup capital, the company expects pilot production of marketable potash to begin in early 2024.

The first evaporation units could be in place later this year… And then the company can potentially begin to multiply its investors’ equity.

As the first units come online, the cash earned on product sales will fund more units. And cash flow from those units will fund even more.

The plan is to develop its properties in clusters of twenty 320-acre mining units, each yielding 150,000 metric tons a year for a total of 3 million metric tons a year.18

A Track Record Of Mining Successes

Not only is Sage Potash sitting on what could be one of the world’s most massive potash reserves – a project estimated to be worth $31 billion at today’s prices…

But they’re run by some of the savviest experts in the field.

After all, it’s a rare occurrence for a junior mining outfit to move into production within a year of permitting.

It’s easy to understand why though, when you consider one of their Directors once worked at the very highest levels of the U.S. Department of Commerce, as Chief of Staff at the Bureau of Land Management… in the agency that regulates and approves mines.

And that Sage’s President of US Operations was once President and CEO of an industry major, Intrepid Potash.

During the last supply-chain crisis, over a period of 18 months that ended in March of 2022, Intrepid Potash’s share price soared 873%.

Now, when it comes to actual exploration, Sage Potash’s Chief Operating Office helped discover a copper mine that sold for $1.1 billion. He was also Western Potash’s founder, who raised $240 million to get his company up and running.

A team with this level of expertise gives Sage Potash (OTCQB:SGPTF, TSX.V:SAGEOTCQB:SGPTF, TSX.V:SAGE) a big advantage as they move into production.

A Second Ace In The Hole

Sage Potash (OTCQB:SGPTF, TSX.V:SAGEOTCQB:SGPTF, TSX.V:SAGE) just announced the formation of a U.S. subsidiary, Sage Lithium Corp., which plans to operate in conjunction with its parent company.

Sage Potash is currently applying for Class V Authorization to drill two exploration wells that are planned to function as an initial pilot production well and a brine disposal well. Concurrently, Sage Lithium will sample, test, and analyze strata that are amenable to brine extraction for lithium.

Historic exploration results from the Paradox Basin  have shown high potential for hosting multi-commodity brines, rich in potash – but also in lithium, bromine and other soluble saline minerals.

Even though historic oil and gas wells throughout the Paradox Basin were seldom analyzed for lithium, bromine, potassium, and boron, the few that were sampled returned concentrations ranging from 66ppm to 1,700ppm lithium, 18,800 ppm to 47,000 ppm potassium, and 1,150 ppm to 6,100 ppm bromine.

The company believes these records indicate a strong possibility of intersecting super-saturated brines (composed of up to 40% minerals and 60% water).

8 Reasons To Add Sage Potash (OTCQB:SGPTF, TSX.V:SAGEOTCQB:SGPTF, TSX.V:SAGE) To Your Watchlist Today

  1. HISTORIC CHANGE IS COMING – Should Sage Potash (OTCQB:SGPTF, TSX.V:SAGEOTCQB:SGPTF, TSX.V:SAGE) hit anticipated peak production, they could reshape the U.S. potash industry. Its first two permitted sites hold the most recoverable potash since Intrepid’s current Wendover mine went into production near Salt Lake City in 1920.19
  2. POTENTIAL $1.2 BILLION A YEAR – Potash is generally easy to mine, but Sage Potash has a breakthrough method that uses evaporating machines to process the potash much faster than traditional methods. This is more reliable than pumping potash brine into ponds. And evaporation machines are not dependent on weather, meaning they can work year-round.
  3. NEAR-TERM PRODUCTION – Production permitting for its first potash wells is underway now. Sage estimates it’s less than a year from production.
  4. SUPPLY WOES AS DEMAND GROWS – The U.S. has no significant domestic potash supply.According to the U.S. Geological Survey, America only mines 440,000 metric tons of potash every year, meaning they must import more than 7 million metric tons currently.
  5. SAVING THE TOPSOIL – The need for potash is only growing. Only potash replaces lost soil potassium. Corn needs potash to avoid stalk rot and resist stress from drought.21] Soybeans are especially big potash users. An acre that yields 60 bushels removes 87 pounds Kc, equal to 145 pounds of potash from the soil.21. Hay is also a big drain—it removes three to four times as much potassium (potash) and phosphorus. Moreover, 100% of the minerals in the crop are removed from the field, so it’s a constant drain. 22
  6. PRIME LOCATION – If Sage moved any closer to America’s largest croplands it would be sitting on farmland itself. That’s worth $150 to $225 per ton to Sage’s profit margin or competitive pricing for customers.
  7. DOMESTIC SOURCE – Sage is not the only one taking advantage of this lull after the 2021 squeeze. It’s just the only one doing a big deal in the U.S. with its 90,000-acre property. It’s perfect timing because the worldwide potash market reached $28.9 billion in 2022 and is forecast to nearly double to $48.9 billion by 2032.23
  8. SUCCESSFUL MANAGEMENT – Sage Potash is run by some of the smartest and savviest experts in the mining sector. Director Selma Sierra once worked at the very highest levels of the U.S. Department of Commerce as Chief of Staff at the Bureau of Land Management, in the agency that regulates and approves mines. CEO Pat Avery was President and CEO of an industry major, Intrepid Potash. J. Patricio Varas, Sage’s Chief Operating Officer, helped discover a copper mine that sold for $1.1 billion, and was Western Potash’s founder where he raised $240 million to get his company up and running.

Escalating demand will likely last decades.

The supply crunch and its threat to the food supply will likely soon be making headlines again.

And when it does, commodity investors could clamor into this little-known sector.

With as much as $1.2 billion a year in front of it for the next 25 years – it makes Sage Potash (OTCQB:SGPTF, TSX.V:SAGEOTCQB:SGPTF, TSX.V:SAGE) a long-term play.

That’s why it’s time to do your due diligence on Sage Potash, before more news drives this quiet company to the forefront of investor watchlists.

1 https://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2016/1167/ofr20161167.pdf chart of 60 years U.S. product ion. Mean around 1.5 million tons/yr X 6o yrs = 90 million tons. Sage investor fact sheet says there are 150 million tons inferred on its property and 2 billion recoverable from Paradox Basin https://sagepotash.com/investors/
2 https://ycharts.com/indicators/potassium_chloride_muriate_of_potash_spot_price
3 https://www.farmprogress.com/crop-protection/mosaic-curtails-potash-output-at-canada-mine-on-demand-slump
4 https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/crops/article/2022/12/22/2023-potash-outlook-see-supply-lower
5 https://www.ifpri.org/blog/how-sanctions-russia-and-belarus-are-impacting-exports-agricultural-products-and-fertilizer
6 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-06/mosaic-curtails-potash-output-at-canada-mine-on-demand-slump and https://sports.yahoo.com/news/potash-corp-cuts-jobs-canadian-152312617.html and https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/fertilizer-producer-nutrien-may-slow-potash-expansion-ceo-2023-05-11/
7 https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2019/may/30/topsoil-farming-agriculture-food-toxic-america
8 https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2019/may/30/topsoil-farming-agriculture-food-toxic-america
9 https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/soil-depletion-and-nutrition-loss/ 10 https://www.pda.org.uk/plant-potassium-measurements/ also source of the graphic
11 https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-981-16-6883-8_5
12 https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2023/04/19/2650239/0/en/Potash-Global-Market-Report-2023.html
13 graphic source for potash “hidden hunger” is https://www.pda.org.uk/measuring-potassium-in-soil-and-crop/
14 Sage Potash Fact Sheet https://sagepotash.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/Sage-Potash-Investor-Fact-Sheet-25th-May-2023.pdf
15 Sage NI 43-101 https://sagepotash.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Sage_Tech_Rept_Feb_8_2023.pdf
16 https://sagepotash.com/investors/
17 https://geology.utah.gov/map-pub/survey-notes/utah-potash-resources-production-and-exploration/
18 Sage Potash Fact Sheet
19 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intrepid_Potash
20 https://www.lewishybrids.com/en-U.S./agronomy-library/phosphorus-potassium-fertility-corn-soybean.html
21 https://www.agweb.com/opinion/do-soybeans-need-potash-much-corn
22 https://hayandforage.com/article-3021-potassium-helped-turn-this-hayfield-around.html
23 https://www.factmr.com/report/684/potash-fertilizers-market

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This document contains forward-looking information and forward-looking statements, within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation, (collectively, “forward-looking statements”), which reflect expectations regarding Sage Potash future growth, future business plans and opportunities, expected activities, and other statements about future events, results or performance. Wherever possible, words such as “predicts”, “projects”, “targets”, “plans”, “expects”, “does not expect”, “budget”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “forecasts”, “anticipate” or “does not anticipate”, “believe”, “intend” and similar expressions or statements that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved, or the negative or grammatical variation thereof or other variations thereof, or comparable terminology have been used to identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements relating to: (a) revenue generating potential with respect to Sage Potash industry; (b) market opportunity; (c) Sage Potash business plans and strategies; (d) services that Sage Potash intends to offer; (e) Sage Potash milestone projections and targets; (f) Sage Potash expectations regarding receipt of approval for regulatory applications; (g) Sage Potash intentions to expand into other jurisdictions including the timeline expectations relating to those expansion plans; and (h) Sage Potash expectations with regarding its ability to deliver shareholder value. Forward-looking statements are not a guarantee of future performance and are based upon a number of estimates and assumptions of management in light of management’s experience and perception of trends, current conditions and expected developments, as well as other factors that management believes to be relevant and reasonable in the circumstances, as of the date of this document including, without limitation, assumptions about: (a) the ability to raise any necessary additional capital on reasonable terms to execute Sage Potash business plan; (b) that general business and economic conditions will not change in a material adverse manner; (c) Sage Potash ability to procure equipment and operating supplies in sufficient quantities and on a timely basis; (d) Sage Potash ability to enter into contractual arrangements; (e) the accuracy of budgeted costs and expenditures; (f) Sage Potash ability to attract and retain skilled personnel; (g) political and regulatory stability; (h) the receipt of governmental, regulatory and third-party approvals, licenses and permits on favorable terms; (i) changes in applicable legislation; (j) stability in financial and capital markets; and (k) expectations regarding the level of disruption as a result of COVID-19. Such forward-looking information involves a variety of known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual plans, intentions, activities, results, performance or achievements of Sage Potash to be materially different from any future plans, intentions, activities, results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such risks include, without limitation: (a) Sage Potash operations could be adversely affected by possible future government legislation, policies and controls or by changes in applicable laws and regulations; (b) public health crises such as the COVID-19 pandemic may adversely impact Sage Potash business; (c) the volatility of global capital markets; (d) political instability and changes to the regulations governing Sage Potash business operations (e) Sage Potash may be unable to implement its growth strategy; and (f) increased competition. Except as required by law, the Website Host undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future event or otherwise.

HISTORICAL INFORMATION

Any graphs, tables or other information demonstrating the historical performance or current or historical attributes of Sage Potash or any other entity contained in this document are intended only to illustrate historical performance or current or historical attributes of Sage Potash or such entities and are not necessarily indicative of future performance of Sage Potash or such entities.